The largest all-India election survey conducted by Hindusthan
Samachar reveals that BJP’s prime ministerial candidate Narendra Modi
has wider liking and support base than his party has. If the perception
that people have turns into their votes for his party as well, it
indicates a wave sweeping the country.
The wave, if it materializes, as various aspects of the ten-point survey indicates may cause severe losses to Congress at the national level and many regional parties including Samajwadi Party and Bahujan Smajawadi Party. Congress may end up with 95 seats and with its allies 105 to 130 seats, Samajwadi Party tally may reduce to 12 seats and BSP to 14.
According to the survey, Congress would be the worst sufferer in UP and Uttarakhand. In Bihar, Nitish Kumar’s Janata Dal-U is also likely to lose a lot. The Congress tally in UP is likely to come down to less than ten in UP against the 21 seats it had in 2009. The SP may come down from 23 to 12 to 15 while BSP is likely to have 14 to 18 seats against last time’s 20.
Even Ajit Singh’s RLD is likely to get up to two seats against the last time’s 5.
But Aam Admi Party is likely to make its presence and also be diverting votes of Congress-BJP in some areas. The AAP as per the poll may get up to two seats in UP.
In Bihar, as per the trends, BJP may win 20 to 25 seats. JD-U in the best of the circumstances is likely to get not more than 10 seats against its previous tally of 20. Congress may get one and RJD may get three to five seats.
Another significant indication is that the Third Front may end up with 70 to 100 seats.
The Hindusthan Samachar has conducted the largest ever all-India election survey. It has contacted 77581 persons in 242 Lok Sabha constituencies in 22 states to map the perceptions of the people. It was conducted in a 15-day period from February 10 to February 25 by the news agency correspondents. The feedback was taken on a questionnaire having ten questions.
Seventy per cent of the people surveyed across the country have said that they want Narendra Modi as the prime minister. He has almost emerged as the youth icon with 76.61 per cent supporting him. The support base for Modi exceeds the influence of the party in some of the regions like Jammu and Kashmir, where 56 per cent have voted for him; Sikkim with 95.45 per cent opting for him. Even in West Bengal, Assam,Maharashtra, Jharkhand, Kerala, Orissa, MP, Chattisgarh and Arunachal, people await for Modi.
52 per cent reject incumbent MPs
The HS election survey reveals that the voters are in a mood to reject most of the incumbent MPs. Almost 52 per cent have said that they would not like send their incumbent representatives back to Lok Sabha.
However, there are 39 per cent voters would like to vote for their representatives again. They appeared to be satisfied with the performance of their MPs. About ten per cent could not decide either way.
The incumbents are likely face the wrath in MP, UP, Jharkhand, rajasthan, Uttarakhand, Odisha, Jammu and Kashmir, Punjab, Bihar, Delhi and Arunachal Pradesh. But the voters of Maharashtra, Chhattisgarh, West Bengal, Haryana and Chandigarh are likely to vote for the incumbents.
Inflation and Corruption
Inflation remains the most biting issue. Over 55 per cent voters have said that they would vote for someone who would be able to contain inflation. People of UP, Bihar, Maharashtra, MP, Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, Rajasthan, West Bengal, Gujarat and Chandigarh are the most piqued by the rising prices.
Over 37 per cent voters are concerned about corruption. However, only eight per cent considered terrorism to be an issue. Corrruption is likely to be the main issue in Jammu and Kashmir, Odisha, Haryana, Delhi and Sikkim.
People of Kerala have said that both the issues pricked them the most.
Youn MPs
The HS poll survey also indicates a growing preference for younger persons as their representatives. A large number of voters, 44.33 per cent want that their MPs be of 40 years or less while 37.41 per cent do not have problem it the age is up to 60 years. About 22 per cent refuse to give their opinion.
People who want their MPs be of up to 40 years of age are from UP, MP, Maharashtra, West Bengal, Rajasthan, Gujarat, Bihar and Sikkim. Those having preference for higher age are from Delhi, Assam, Tripura and Jammu and Kashmir. People in Arunachal and Himachal have no definite opinion on this issue.
38 per cent unhappy with state govt
It was found that 38.09 per cent are unhappy with the performance of state governments. About an equal number – 39.83 per cent – appeared satisfied with their provincial governments.
Those unhappy are from UP,Uttarakhand, Jharkhand, West Bengal (North Bengal in particular), Jammu & Kashmir, Arunachal, Assam and Kerala. The satisfied voters were from MP, Chhattisgarh, Punjab, Bihar, Gujarat and Sikkim.
Except for Kerala, voters all over the country appeared dissatisfied with the performance of UPA gover;nment led by prime minister Manmohan Singh.
source :- hindusthan samachar
The wave, if it materializes, as various aspects of the ten-point survey indicates may cause severe losses to Congress at the national level and many regional parties including Samajwadi Party and Bahujan Smajawadi Party. Congress may end up with 95 seats and with its allies 105 to 130 seats, Samajwadi Party tally may reduce to 12 seats and BSP to 14.
According to the survey, Congress would be the worst sufferer in UP and Uttarakhand. In Bihar, Nitish Kumar’s Janata Dal-U is also likely to lose a lot. The Congress tally in UP is likely to come down to less than ten in UP against the 21 seats it had in 2009. The SP may come down from 23 to 12 to 15 while BSP is likely to have 14 to 18 seats against last time’s 20.
Even Ajit Singh’s RLD is likely to get up to two seats against the last time’s 5.
But Aam Admi Party is likely to make its presence and also be diverting votes of Congress-BJP in some areas. The AAP as per the poll may get up to two seats in UP.
In Bihar, as per the trends, BJP may win 20 to 25 seats. JD-U in the best of the circumstances is likely to get not more than 10 seats against its previous tally of 20. Congress may get one and RJD may get three to five seats.
Another significant indication is that the Third Front may end up with 70 to 100 seats.
The Hindusthan Samachar has conducted the largest ever all-India election survey. It has contacted 77581 persons in 242 Lok Sabha constituencies in 22 states to map the perceptions of the people. It was conducted in a 15-day period from February 10 to February 25 by the news agency correspondents. The feedback was taken on a questionnaire having ten questions.
Seventy per cent of the people surveyed across the country have said that they want Narendra Modi as the prime minister. He has almost emerged as the youth icon with 76.61 per cent supporting him. The support base for Modi exceeds the influence of the party in some of the regions like Jammu and Kashmir, where 56 per cent have voted for him; Sikkim with 95.45 per cent opting for him. Even in West Bengal, Assam,Maharashtra, Jharkhand, Kerala, Orissa, MP, Chattisgarh and Arunachal, people await for Modi.
52 per cent reject incumbent MPs
The HS election survey reveals that the voters are in a mood to reject most of the incumbent MPs. Almost 52 per cent have said that they would not like send their incumbent representatives back to Lok Sabha.
However, there are 39 per cent voters would like to vote for their representatives again. They appeared to be satisfied with the performance of their MPs. About ten per cent could not decide either way.
The incumbents are likely face the wrath in MP, UP, Jharkhand, rajasthan, Uttarakhand, Odisha, Jammu and Kashmir, Punjab, Bihar, Delhi and Arunachal Pradesh. But the voters of Maharashtra, Chhattisgarh, West Bengal, Haryana and Chandigarh are likely to vote for the incumbents.
Inflation and Corruption
Inflation remains the most biting issue. Over 55 per cent voters have said that they would vote for someone who would be able to contain inflation. People of UP, Bihar, Maharashtra, MP, Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, Rajasthan, West Bengal, Gujarat and Chandigarh are the most piqued by the rising prices.
Over 37 per cent voters are concerned about corruption. However, only eight per cent considered terrorism to be an issue. Corrruption is likely to be the main issue in Jammu and Kashmir, Odisha, Haryana, Delhi and Sikkim.
People of Kerala have said that both the issues pricked them the most.
Youn MPs
The HS poll survey also indicates a growing preference for younger persons as their representatives. A large number of voters, 44.33 per cent want that their MPs be of 40 years or less while 37.41 per cent do not have problem it the age is up to 60 years. About 22 per cent refuse to give their opinion.
People who want their MPs be of up to 40 years of age are from UP, MP, Maharashtra, West Bengal, Rajasthan, Gujarat, Bihar and Sikkim. Those having preference for higher age are from Delhi, Assam, Tripura and Jammu and Kashmir. People in Arunachal and Himachal have no definite opinion on this issue.
38 per cent unhappy with state govt
It was found that 38.09 per cent are unhappy with the performance of state governments. About an equal number – 39.83 per cent – appeared satisfied with their provincial governments.
Those unhappy are from UP,Uttarakhand, Jharkhand, West Bengal (North Bengal in particular), Jammu & Kashmir, Arunachal, Assam and Kerala. The satisfied voters were from MP, Chhattisgarh, Punjab, Bihar, Gujarat and Sikkim.
Except for Kerala, voters all over the country appeared dissatisfied with the performance of UPA gover;nment led by prime minister Manmohan Singh.
source :- hindusthan samachar
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